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Wednesday, March 31, 2021

MLB Opening Day: Predicting the 2021 Yankees and baseball season - Pinstripe Alley

At long last, it’s almost Opening Day. In just 24 hours, we’ll already know how the Yankees’ first game of the season turned out. Well, either that or we’ll be sad that it rained.

With the 2021 season nearly upon us, it’s time for the Pinstripe Alley staff to share its predictions for the upcoming campaign. As always, our writers were tasked with taking their best shots at forecasting standings, awards, statistics, the playoffs, and more. If we’re wrong, blame it on glitches in the matrix.

Last year, Josh unseated Jake’s “dynasty Yankees”-esque run of four consecutive years atop the PSA Predictions leaderboard. Josh has now actually won in back-to-back seasons since he and Jake split the crown in 2019. Will Josh three-peat, or will one of the challengers unseat him?

2021 AL Standings

The Yankees are the unanimous pick to take the AL East, with the Blue Jays and Rays fighting it out for the No. 2 spot. The defending AL champions in Tampa have lost some key pieces from 2020, but it’s hard to shake the feeling that they won’t easily fade.

Over in the AL Central, we’re fairly split between the Twins and White Sox, but the Pale Hose got the one-vote edge. The Astros prevailed over the A’s by the same margin in our AL West, though some writers went for the Mike Trout/Shohei Ohtani-led catnip that is the Angels instead of Oakland at No. 2.

2021 NL Standings

Aiming for their fourth NL East crown in a row, the Braves will probably end up getting a good fight from the Mets, who have made a ton of improvements in the offseason. However, based on our predictions, it doesn’t seem like it will quite be enough. Some — like myself — even have the Phillies above the Mets. A bold strategy, I know.

The NL Central is a hodgepodge aside from everyone agreeing that the Pirates stink. The Cardinals get the edge over the Brewers here with the Cubs continuing their post-2016 tailspin. As for the NL West, it’s “Dodgers, Dodgers, Dodgers” for the ninth year in a row. Respect to Kunj though for giving the upstart Padres a vote to dethrone the juggernaut.

Yankees leaders: AVG, HR, ERA, and WAR

It’s probably fitting that the top vote-getters for most homers on the Yankees were split between Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. Kudos to John and AndrĂ©s for going against the grain by voting for Gio Urshela to lead the team in average over the reigning MLB batting champion. He did hit .314 in 2019, so you never know!

Misc. Yankees predictions

What can we say? We’re optimists.

We’re all hoping for big, healthy comeback seasons from Judge, Stanton, Gary SĂĄnchez, and even the Corey Kluber/Jameson Taillon duo. Amusingly enough, Kunj is the low man on the number of combined starts between Kluber and Taillon, but naturally has Judge breaking the single-season home run record. We keep things reasonable around here!

MLB leaders: AVG, HR, ERA, and WAR

Mike Trout and Jacob deGrom are just unfair in these wide predictions, and I suspect that it won’t be long before Nationals wunderkind Juan Soto ascends to that level, too. He’s absurd.

Most team wins & losses, first manager fired

No, I did not average Kunj’s 161-win prediction into the consensus. I’m rude like that. The funny thing about John’s 112-win guess for the Dodgers is that it’s not too hard to squint and see how it’s possible. Also, condolences to Rockies skipper Bud Black, who is in just about the biggest lose-lose situation imaginable in Colorado. What a mess.

MLB Awards

Dan Brink and I were the only writers to not pick a Yankee for the Cy Young and I feel a little guilty. Alas. Meanwhile, I’m sure a Jarred Kelenic Rookie of the Year win in Seattle would not cause any headaches across town at all, no siree Bob.

Young Marlins stud Sixto SĂĄnchez is the popular pick for NL Rookie of the Year, but don’t sleep on the Pirates’ Ke’Bryan Hayes. If you don’t know about him, he’s the son of former Yankee Charlie Hayes and can do it all on both offense and defense.

Playoffs?!

We’re all picking the Yankees to make it back to the World Series for the first time since 2009. Usurping the defending champions though? Some of us think they can do it, but the plurality do not. Hopefully we’re wrong. For what it’s worth, the Dodgers weren’t a unanimous pick to win the NL pennant, and the Yankees won all four of these predicted matchups with the likes of the Padres, Braves, and Mets. So maybe someone else will do the dirty work.

Share your own predictions in the comments below, and who knows? Maybe you’ll end up having the upper hand. It’s anyone’s guess. Have fun with it!

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Mets sign shortstop Francisco Lindor to massive 10-year, $341 million extension, according to report - CBS Sports

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The New York Mets have reached an agreement on a long-term extension with shortstop Francisco Lindor worth roughly $340 million, Jon Heyman reports. Multiple other reports put the deal at $341 million over ten years. That figure makes Lindor's extension the third largest contract in MLB history and the largest ever for a shortstop.

Lindor, who had set an Opening Day deadline for a new deal, was previously scheduled to hit free agency this winter. Instead, the Mets appear to have locked up the All-Star mere hours before time ran out. Lindor's new contract won't begin until the 2022 season, which means the Mets have secured his services for the next 11 years. Lindor's salary for 2021 will be $22.3 million. According to Joel Sherman, the contract includes deferrred money but does not include any opt-outs. A partial no-trade clause is also part of the deal.

Lindor, 27, was acquired from Cleveland in January as part of a six-player trade. The Mets also netted injured starter Carlos Carrasco in that deal, and sent out infielders Amed Rosario and Andres Gimenez and prospects Josh Wolf and Isaiah Greene.

Lindor has batted .277/.343/.502 (122 OPS+) with 78 home runs and 53 stolen bases over the last three seasons. Factoring in his above-average defense at shortstop, he's been worth 13.9 Wins Above Replacement, the 10th most among position players during that span, according to Baseball Reference's calculations.

Lindor will enter the season having made four All-Star Games and won two Gold Glove Awards and two Silver Slugger Awards. He's received Most Valuable Player Award consideration in four of his five full seasons. 

Following Lindor's recent dinner with Mets owner Steve Cohen, the team made what was reported to be a 10-year, $325 million offer. Lindor, however, was reported to be asking for $385 million over 12 years. At that point, an impasse seemed to descend upon talks. As the self-imposed deadline neared, however, both sides moved toward the middle and reached an agreement that will keep Lindor in Queens for years to come. Lindor gets life-changing money, the Mets get a franchise cornerstone, and Cohen makes good on the bravado he put forth early in his ownership tenure. 

This marks the second consecutive year a top player has been traded entering their walk year, only to sign an extension before making their regular-season debut with their new club. Mookie Betts did the same with the Los Angeles Dodgers last year, just months after being shipped over from the Boston Red Sox.

Even with Lindor off the market, the winter could boast an unusually strong collection of shortstops. Trevor Story, Carlos Correa, Javier Baez, and Corey Seager are four such names to keep an eye on. Our Matt Snyder recently covered those players' situations in greater detail

Lindor, meantime, becomes the fifth player to sign an extension worth at least $300 million. The previous four were Betts, Mike Trout, Giancarlo Stanton, and Fernando Tatis Jr., who signed his own massive extension earlier this spring.

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April 01, 2021 at 10:48AM
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Mets sign shortstop Francisco Lindor to massive 10-year, $341 million extension, according to report - CBS Sports
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Gonzaga opens as largest Final Four favorite in NCAA tournament history - Yardbarker

The No. 11-seeded UCLA Bruins are the last darlings remaining in the NCAA men's basketball tournament and earned a place in the Final Four via Tuesday's thrilling 51-49 win over the Michigan Wolverines that occurred largely because of Michigan's offensive woes in the contest's closing minutes:

UCLA's reward is a showdown with the undefeated Gonzaga Bulldogs, seen by many as a candidate to emerge as arguably the greatest college team of the modern era. Thus, it's understandable Gonzaga opened on BetOnline.ag as a 13.5-point favorite against UCLA, the largest Final Four spread in men's tournament history dating back to 1985 when the spread became widely available. 

There's more. As of early Wednesday evening, the Bulldogs were 14-point favorites to topple the Bruins and earn a berth in the title game versus either the Houston Cougars or Baylor Bears. Baylor began Wednesday night as a five-point favorite to face Gonzaga in the championship contest, assuming BetOnline.ag's predictions are accurate. 

Gonzaga trounced the USC Trojans 85-66 in its Elite Eight matchup that wasn't much of a battle outside of a handful of interesting minutes and has won every tournament game, to date, by double-digits. The Bulldogs are two victories away from becoming the eighth men's team to win the tournament and championship with a perfect record. 

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April 01, 2021 at 06:13AM
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Mets' Pete Alonso speaks out on Francisco Lindor's contract situation: 'Pay him $400 million' - Fox News

First baseman Pete Alonso is a huge fan of Francisco Lindor, the All-Star shortstop the New York Mets acquired this past offseason in a megadeal with the Cleveland Indians. And since Lindor is looking for a new long-term contract with the new franchise he calls home, Alonso decided to speak out on behalf of his new teammate.

On Tuesday, Alonso was asked by a reporter if he believes Lindor is a $400 million baseball player.

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"Absolutely," Alonso responded. "He’s worth every penny."

Alonso continued: "I hope they pay him $400 million."

Earlier in the week, there were multiple reports that Lindor was offered a 10-year, $325 million contract extension, but Lindor and his camp were reportedly looking for a 12-year, $385 million deal.

If he ends up getting what he is asking for, it would be the second-largest contract in MLB history behind Los Angeles Angels superstar Mike Trout’s $426 million extension back in 2019.

ON EVE OF OPENERS, MANFRED HOPES FULL CAPACITY BY MIDSUMMER

Lindor, who is 27 years old, would be 39 at the end of the sought-after 12-year deal. He has a career slash line of .285/.346/.488 and he hit at least 30 homers in each of the last three full 162-game seasons. Last year, in the shortened season due to COVID-19, Lindor batted .258 and he had eight homers with 27 RBI in only 60 games played.

On Sunday, Lindor had dinner with Mets owner Steve Cohen. Two days later, Cohen tweeted out that he hopes Lindor signs a new deal with the team.

"Lindor is a heckuva player and a great guy. I hope he decides to sign," Cohen wrote.

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Lindor set an Opening Day deadline to get a deal done with the Mets. But if it doesn’t happen, New York will look to work on a contract extension in the offseason. However, if Lindor has an MVP-level worthy season, the Mets would be allowing him to test free agency in the open market.

Lindor is a four-time All-Star, two-time Gold Glove winner, and two-time Silver Slugger winner.

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Supreme Court Weighs Whether NCAA Is Illegally 'Fixing' Athlete Compensation - NPR

The arguments before the Supreme Court Wednesday came amid March Madness — and could erode the difference between elite college athletes and professional sports stars. Paul Sancya/AP

Paul Sancya/AP

As March Madness heads into its final days, college athletes are playing on a different kind of court: the Supreme Court. On Wednesday the justices heard arguments in a case testing whether the NCAA's limits on compensation for student athletes violate the nation's antitrust laws.

The players contend that the NCAA is operating a system that is a classic restraint of competition in violation of the federal laws barring price fixing in markets, including the labor market.

There is little doubt that big-time college sports is a big business. For March Madness TV rights alone, the NCAA is paid $1.1 billion each year. But the NCAA maintains that the antitrust law allows it to impose certain limits on athlete compensation in order to preserve what the NCAA contends is the essence of college sports' popularity: namely amateurism.

The case before the court stems from an appeals court ruling that ordered the NCAA to broaden the education-related benefits available to college athletes. The NCAA objected and appealed to the Supreme Court, contending that it should be left alone to decide athlete compensation. What makes collegiate play attractive to consumers, says the collegiate sports governing body, is that there is no "pay for play."

Chief Justice John Roberts, however, pointed out loopholes that seem to undermine that principle. For example, under current NCAA rules, schools can pay the $50,000 insurance premium for a $10 million policy that protects the student athlete's future earnings in the case of injury.

"That sounds very much like pay for play," he said. "Doesn't that undermine the 'amateur status' theory you have?"

Justice Clarence Thomas, a big football fan, noted that the NCAA has "put a lot of weight on amateurism," but, he asked, "Is there a similar focus on the compensation to coaches?"

There used to be, replied lawyer Seth Waxman, representing the NCAA, until, the coaches challenged earning limits in court and won.

Justice Stephen Breyer asked Waxman what precisely the NCAA is complaining about. Waxman replied by warning that what is now permitted as special rewards for athlete performance could become the norm. Under the lower court's ruling, he contended, the NCAA "cannot restrain schools from awarding to every Division I athlete, just for being on the team, $5,980 per year, God help us." That, he added, "is nothing but pay for play."

That $5,980 number is the amount in rings, trophies and cash that, under current NCAA rules, may be awarded to athletes for performance in high-level competition, like the championship bowls.

Justice Samuel Alito seemed skeptical, pointing to briefs filed by the NFL, NBA and WNBA professional players associations. Alito said they paint "a pretty stark picture" of colleges "really exploiting the students that they recruit."

While the athletes' work is bringing in billions of dollars, they have a pretty "hard life," said Alito. Training requirements leave little time for study, there's pressure to drop out of hard majors, and the graduation rates are "shockingly low."

Summing up the players argument, Alito said "they are recruited, they're used up, and then they're cast aside without even a college degree. So they say, how can this be defended in the name of amateurism?"

Justice Elena Kagan too seemed doubtful about the NCAA's argument that it is protecting not just its business but the athletes.

"The way you talk about amateurism, it sounds awfully high-minded," she said. "But schools that are naturally competitors ... have all gotten together in an organization" and they use the power of that organization "to fix athletic salaries at extremely low levels."

Justice Neil Gorsuch said that in his view the agreement at the center of the case is "an agreement among competitors to fix prices" in the labor market.

Justice Brett Kavanaugh seemed to agree. "It does seem that the schools are conspiring with competitors ... to pay no salaries to the workers who are making the schools billions of dollars," he said.

And Justice Amy Coney Barrett, a former professor at sports powerhouse Notre Dame, asked why the NCAA "gets to define what pay is?"

But when it came time for the athletes' lawyers to make their argument, they faced just as much skepticism.

Chief Justice Roberts suggested the lower court may have overstepped by seeking to "micromanage" the NCAA's business, comparing the lower court's actions to a Jenga game.

"You've got this nice solid block that protects the sort of product the schools want to provide, and you pull out one log and then another and everything's fine, then another and another, and all of a sudden the whole thing comes comes crashing down," said Roberts.

Justice Breyer, too, was concerned about what would happen if judges started "getting into the business of deciding how amateur sports should be run."

"This is not an ordinary product," he said, his voice rising. "This is an effort to bring into the world something that's brought joy and all kinds of things to millions and millions of people. and it's only partly economic."

"This is a delicate area," opined Justice Barrett. "On the one hand, there's concern about blowing up the NCAA. ... But on the other hand, the court must be concerned over not "messing up" general antitrust law.

Justice Sonia Sotomayor was more direct: "How do we know that we're not just destroying the game as it exists?" she asked.

And Justice Kagan, apparently spooked by the NCAA's argument that it might have to pay every athlete nearly $5,980, asked whether the lower court had not just taken that figure "out of thin air." Isn't the number, asked Kagan, "essentially arbitrary?"

But acting Solicitor General Elizabeth Prelogar pushed back on behalf of the Biden administration, which is supporting the athletes. She said there is nothing in the lower court order that prevents the NCAA from establishing criteria for payments with benchmarks to ensure that theses are not pay-for-play arrangements.

By the time the buzzer sounded after nearly two hours of argument, it was anyone's guess how the court would rule.

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Gonzaga vs. UCLA odds: 2021 NCAA Tournament picks, March Madness Final Four predictions from proven model - CBS Sports

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The 2021 NCAA Tournament reaches its stretch run on Saturday with a pair of highly intriguing Final Four matchups. The second game of the doubleheader pits the No. 1 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs against the No. 11 seed UCLA Bruins with a spot in the national title game on the line. Gonzaga enters Saturday's contest at 30-0 on the season and the Bulldogs have won 27 straight games by at least 10 points. UCLA is 22-9 on the year after advancing with upset wins over Alabama and Michigan in back-to-back games.

Tip-off is at 8:34 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium on CBS. William Hill Sportsbook lists Gonzaga as a 14-point favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 145 in the latest Gonzaga vs. UCLA odds. Before you make any UCLA vs. Gonzaga picks, check out the March Madness college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Gonzaga vs. UCLA in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for UCLA vs. Gonzaga:

  • Gonzaga vs. UCLA spread: Gonzaga -14
  • Gonzaga vs. UCLA over-under: 145 points
  • Gonzaga vs. UCLA money line: Gonzaga -1100, UCLA +700
  • ZAGS: The Bulldogs are 9-4 against the spread in non-conference games
  • UCLA: The Bruins are 5-0 against the spread in the 2021 NCAA Tournament

Why Gonzaga can cover 

Gonzaga is balanced and dominant on both ends of the floor. The Bulldogs have the best offense in the country, shooting a blistering 54.9 percent from the field and burying 63.7 percent of their two-point shots. Outside the arc, Gonzaga is also very good, converting 37.1 percent, and UCLA was 10th in the Pac-12 in 3-point shooting allowed during conference play. The Bulldogs also pass the ball at an elite level, producing 18.6 assists per game, and they take care of the ball in committing a turnover on only 16.1 percent of their offensive possessions. UCLA ranks outside the top 250 in the country in turnover creation rate (17.6 percent), and the Bruins have only a 7.4 percent steal rate, ranking 295th nationally. 

On the margins, Gonzaga is also well above-average in getting to the free throw line, and the Bulldogs are grabbing 30.8 percent of their own misses on the offensive glass. That offensive proficiency, combined with a top-five defense in terms of overall efficiency, paints the picture of how Gonzaga has accumulated a 30-0 mark.

Why UCLA can cover

UCLA's slow pace masks its overall efficiency, as the Bruins are a top-15 offensive team in the country. Mick Cronin's team commits a turnover on only 15.8 percent of possessions, an excellent mark, and opponents have only a 7.2 percent steal rate against UCLA this season. The Bruins put pressure on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 30 percent of their own misses, and they are a strong 3-point shooting team, making 36.9 percent for the season and 39.0 percent in Pac-12 play to lead the conference. 

Defensively, UCLA is above-average, and the Bruins led the Pac-12 in defensive rebound rate. The task is difficult against Gonzaga, but the Bruins are very strong in limiting free throw attempts. From there, UCLA is above-average in two-point defense, yielding just 49.5 percent, and that is a key against a Gonzaga team that leads the nation in shooting from inside the arc.

How to make UCLA vs. Gonzaga picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 157 points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Gonzaga vs. UCLA? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.

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Inside the 144-hour scramble to free the giant ship stuck in the Suez Canal - The Washington Post

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The Ever Given, stuck in the Suez Canal on Sunday in Suez, Egypt.

ISMAILIA, Egypt — In the predawn dark, Magdy Gamal sat in the bridge of the Mosaed 2 and stared up at an iron wall of futility. So far, nothing in six frantic, hazardous days of effort had budged the massive bulk of the Ever Given, 200,000 tons of steel and consumer goods blocking the fourth-busiest shipping lane in the world.

Day after day, the unmoving mass had loomed over a beetle-like swarm of machinery and humans — excavators, dredgers, tugboats — that dug and pushed and pulled to no avail. With the engines and cables of the Mosaed 2 and the other tugs straining to the breaking point, every attempt to loosen gravity’s grip on that hull had failed with each tide that deserted them, the waters receding in their unrelenting cycle.

“The tide is like a ghost we are trying to face,” said Gamal, 30.

Now they were down to their last, best chance. On Monday, the sun and moon were aligned to pull Earth’s waters in the same direction, producing a “king tide,” one of the highest of the year. If the efforts failed again, the Egyptian government was ready to begin the colossal chore of off­loading the Ever Given’s 18,000 cargo containers one by one.

Global commerce was backing up by the hour at either end of the blocked Suez Canal. Economic and political pressure was building to free the ship. The world, distracting itself from a year of the pandemic, was watching.

All this made for even greater danger. Mariners know that haste and heavy seagoing machinery are a deadly combination. They call the area around straining tow cables the “snapback” zone, where breaking lines have been known to sever arms and crush skulls.

Surrounding Gamal were at least 10 other tugs and a hundred crew members. Egypt’s image was at stake. He said a prayer and put his hand on the throttle.

Maxar

AP

A satellite image shows the grounded cargo ship on Sunday.

‘Might be here for a little bit’

It was nearly a week earlier, shortly before sunrise March 23, that a convoy of 20 ships had entered the canal at its southern gateway, beside the Egyptian city of Suez.

Fifth in the line, fitted with the 3 million-candlepower spotlight that all canal-going ships are required to mount on their bows, was the 1,300-foot Ever Given, about halfway through its run from Malaysia to the Netherlands. Stacked 10 high and 23 across above its hull were metal shipping containers, each the size of a one-car garage and stuffed with goods, including Ikea furniture.

[Piracy fears mount as ships seek detours around blocked Suez Canal]

The usual trip up the Suez Canal amounts to about a dozen uneventful hours along 120 placid miles. Crew members can stare east at Asia or west at Africa or north at the freighter ahead of them taking the same narrow shortcut between the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea.

For officers, navigating the canal’s skinny channel is more nerve-racking, like bicycling on a two-by-four. “You don’t have any room for error,” said Joe Reynolds, 55, a chief engineer who has transited the canal dozens of times. His container ship arrived not long after the Ever Given for a crossing that would be like no other.

At 7:08 a.m., with the sun an hour above the desert horizon, the Ever Given moved into one of the canal’s one-lane arteries and approached a bend to the right. Satellite data shows the ship started to weave from bank to bank at more than 15 miles an hour, much faster than the canal’s speed limit of less than 10 mph.

What was happening on the Ever Given’s bridge, where the captain and two certified Suez Canal pilots were on duty, remains a mystery. But some maritime and canal officials have noted that a wind of up to 35 mph was blowing from the south, pressing against the wall of containers.

For more than half an hour, the ship veered from side to side, according to the satellite tracking, narrowly missing the banks until its stern seemed to brush the left-hand shore. The bow instantly sheered sharply to the right, and 400 million pounds of ship plowed into the sandy eastern bank of the canal at 13 mph.

It was 7:44 a.m., and the Ever Given was lodged stem to stern.

The ships behind it slowed their engines, then stopped. Julianne Cona, an engineer on one of them, the Maersk Denver, took a moment from securing her own massive vessel to post an Instagram picture of the ship now sitting athwart the Suez Canal.

“Looks like we might be here for a little bit,” she wrote.

Mohamed Elshahed

AP

The Ever Given looms over the village of Amer, near Suez.

Not a two-tug job

The ships trailing the Ever ­Given in the northbound convoy dropped anchor midstream. Some 30 southbound vessels that had already entered from the Mediterranean, meanwhile, gathered in the Great Bitter Lake area, one of the few wide spots in the canal. An additional 34 ships were already backed up waiting to enter the canal at its northern entrance at Port Said.

The Ever Given was lodged in a narrow stretch of the canal, not one of the sections Egypt had widened in 2015 as part of an $8.5 billion expansion to accommodate larger ships and allow for two-way traffic. Not even small craft could maneuver around the stranded vessel, hampering efforts to deploy salvage boats, much less larger freighters.

Soon after the grounding, two of the waterway’s first responders, the Mosaed 2 and the Ezzat Adel tugboats, arrived at the scene. Egypt’s Suez Canal Authority maintains a fleet of 31 tugs, but in the past, two had been plenty to dislodge stuck ships. Only one tug had been needed to pull an oil tanker free in a 1990s mishap, according to a senior canal pilot. Officials were hopeful this blockage would be quickly cleared.

Members of the Ever Given’s crew of 25 Indian sailors lowered ropes from the stern, one for each tug, and the tug crews attached their heavier cables. The ship’s crew winched up the cables and secured them, ready to be pulled off the bank. But weather and gravity were against them. The winds were still as high. The sand and mud kept a grip on the hull. They needed more power.

“The weather was very difficult on this day,” recalled Badr Ramadan, a senior crew member whose tugboat, the Baraka 1, arrived at the scene shortly after midday as part of the escalating rescue effort. “This kind of weather we have seen before, and usually things work out.”

Now, with more tugs and the tide coming in, they tried a second time. Again, nothing. The water began to ebb and, along with it, hopes for a quick recovery.

Suez Canal Authority

EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Flotation work being carried out around the Ever Given on Sunday.

The costs mount

Outside the canal, the backup was rapidly swelling, and within days it would grow to about 350 idled vessels. Aboard freighters still at a distance, shipmasters puzzled over how to plot their routes. Suddenly, the world’s shipping was back in the 19th century.

Before the Suez Canal was carved in the 1860s, a sea journey from Asia to Europe meant rounding the Cape of Good Hope at the southern tip of Africa. Today, that detour adds two weeks or more, tons of fuel and tens of thousands of dollars to the cost of a trip.

With some salvage experts predicting it could take weeks to refloat the Ever Given, the finger-pointing began, and debates over who was responsible for the mounting costs spiked along with speculation over what caused the accident — winds or poor visibility, human or technical error.

Within the complex ownership and management of the Ever Given — owned by a Japanese holding company, leased by a Taiwanese conglomerate, sailed by German operators and registered in Panama — the parties seemed to shift responsibility. The Taiwanese company, Evergreen, released statements urging the owners to investigate the incident and pointing out that maritime law singles out owners for liability.

For the canal’s mariners, the ship’s unusually high speed seemed especially suspect.

“It may have been one of the factors that caused it to ground,” said Ramadan, the senior crew member. “Sometimes, when there are high wind speeds, you need to go at a faster speed to maneuver the ship properly.”

Tugging, now digging

By the second day, canal officials had dispatched dredgers, the floating road crews of the waterway, keeping the channel deep and wide enough for ships to pass.

It was not until 8 p.m. that day, after picking their way through all the waiting ships, that the first two dredgers arrived. Al Ashir (“The 10th of Ramadan”) is the smallest of the canal’s fleet of 10 dredgers, and the Mashhour is the biggest, a 31,000-horsepower underwater vacuum. A team of divers also reached the scene to survey the bottom. If the tugs could not pull the Ever Given from the sand, the dredgers would take the sand from beneath it.

That day, more reinforcements arrived: a team of specialists from Smit, a Dutch salvage company that had been called by the ship’s Japanese owners.

But crucially, two heavy sea­going tugs contracted by Smit — behemoths capable of enormous towing power — were still two days away to the south. The position of the Ever Given meant it would not be possible to dispatch heavy tugs that might be closer but were north of the canal; they would have to enter from the Red Sea to access the ship’s stern. “Supply from the Mediterranean was impossible,” a Smit spokesman told a Dutch newspaper. “We had to start with the butt.”

The Egyptian dredges continued to burrow without pause, soon receiving help from excavators working from the shore. After another day of digging, which had removed thousands of tons of sand, the ship’s rudder was largely exposed. But high tides came and went, and the Ever Given remained locked to the shore.

Residents in villages alongside the canal watched the growing rescue operation with amazement. The biggest vessel they had ever seen was towering above their houses and farmlands.

“No ships have ever gotten stuck here in my lifetime,” said Hassan, a 49-year-old truck driver who lives in Manshiyet Rugola, a tiny hamlet directly beside the Ever Given’s massive hull. “It’s just fate.”

Mohamed Abd El Ghany

Reuters

People gather to watch operations to free the Ever Given.

An opportunity ahead

Aboard the other ships languishing at the canal, there was nothing to do but wait. The crews worked their shifts, streamed movies and fixated on the electronic charts that showed the position of the grounded ship. Egyptian agriculture officials said they had supplied more than 300 tons of feed for more than 60,000 sheep and 420 cows en route to Saudi Arabia and Jordan.

“Every morning I’d get up and go look and ask the officer on watch, ‘Has it moved?’ And every morning it was ‘No,’ ’’ said Reynolds, who could see the Ever Given rising over the desert more than 10 miles away.

By Saturday, the ship had attracted a harbor yard of its own. At least 14 tugs were on hand. Small boats ferried equipment, food and crew members. There were diving teams and maintenance crews, more than 200 people on the water working round-the-clock, according to interviews with the salvage teams.

The pressure to liberate the vessel was immense when a group of canal officials and Dutch salvage experts mounted the Ever Given’s gangway and gathered with the ship’s officers and crew.

The super-tugs were nearing the canal. The highest tides of the year were about to add precious lifting power.

They all looked to Monday.

Movement

The first big tug to coast up, on Sunday night, was the 3,700-ton Rotterdam-based Alp Guard. “That is the Godzilla of tugboats,” said Gregory Tylawsky, a licensed shipmaster and founder of the Maritime Expert Group.

By 3 a.m. Monday, the burrowing was focused on the Ever ­Given’s bow. A specialized dredger capable of removing 70,600 cubic feet of sand an hour was chewing away at the bank.

The Alp Guard and nine other tugs took up positions at four locations around the hull. The full moon and work lights reflected in the black water — the slowly rising black water that was beginning to change direction with the turning tide. On his bridge, Gamal said his prayer.

Eslam Negm, 32, watched from the deck of the Baraka 1 tugboat and thought of the all the Internet memes about the marooned ship. The world had been laughing at Egypt. “No one was able to see how much pressure we were under,” he said.

They were exhausted, now accustomed to failure but still determined. And they watched closely as the operation commenced.

Every engine roared, the Alp Guard deeper than any.

And suddenly, they thought they felt movement. Slowly, but yes, the Ever Given’s stern seemed to be creeping toward the deeper water. By 5 a.m., they were sure.

“We had every faith in God and ourselves that our efforts would not go to waste,” Gamal said.

But the bow was still sitting on the Egyptian sand.

Christian Caruso

Gabriele De Cesaris, left, captain of Italian deep-sea tug Carlo Magno, maneuvers in the Suez Canal.

Christian Caruso

The Carlo Magno works to free the Ever Given, helping by pulling from the south.

Shortly before dawn, the second big tug, the Italian Carlo Magno, with a crew of 13, pulled in from the south, newly arrived from the United Arab Emirates.

“I saw a mountain askew of the channel,” Capt. Gabriele De Cesaris said of the surreal scene. “We’d already seen it from the news online, but in person it was something that cannot be described.”

The Carlo Magno attached a cable and added its power for the final tugboat ballet that followed. Some boats pushed, others pulled. Over the next long hours, the flotilla moved to apply pressure carefully, working the hull without cracking it, dodging the never-resting dredgers.

At 2:45 p.m., with the tide seeping away, the tugs appeared to stop operations, leaving some crew members to fear they had failed again. But half an hour later, they engaged their propellers for another great heave.

Then, De Cesaris recalled, “there was no noise. We could only sense the reaction of our propellers’ engines that were pushing and realized the speed was changing. Instead of standing still, we were moving forward.”

It was free. It was over.

“We all had goose bumps,” said Mahmoud Shalaby, aboard Baraka 1. “We forgot about all our troubles.”

Tug horns honked. Sailors hugged. The crews cheered.

And then they posted videos of their cheering so a world that had remained fixated for six days could share in their rejoicing.

Ahmad Hassan

AFP/Getty Images

People celebrate across from the Ever Given after it was fully dislodged from the banks Monday.

O’Grady reported from Washington. Hendrix reported from Jerusalem. Heba Farouk Mahfouz in Cairo and Stefano Pitrelli in Rome contributed to this report.

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